Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 60%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Tem 24 21:49 UTC1 Oca 30 12:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
KalshiWill the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Manifold MarketsIf Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if the company currently known as Virgin Galactic still exists in a recognisable form* on January 1st 2030
- Resolves NO otherwise, and may resolve earlier if it is sufficiently clear that it would resolve NO (eg bankruptcy with no signs of a possible revival)
- *To be considered a recognisable form:
- The company must be making progress towards (or currently operating) flights above 70km using an air launched spacecraft; and at least one of the following must still be true:
- 'Virgin' is still in its name (a brand name would count)
Açık piyasalar
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺134,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.5%
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.7pt21.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.6%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺514,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺791,6 B
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺142,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺770,7 B
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria