Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Ara 25 17:56 UTC31 Ara 29 12:58 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Currently president position is symbolic in Hungary.
- It is speculated by some journalists he may attempt to increase the power of the president while he is prime minister, and then run for the president position to stay in power.
- Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve by the end of 2029 (when the next indirect voting for president takes place).
- Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve early if Orban dies
- Market can resolve YES even if Hungary splits, gets renamed, or changes constitution (does not require Orban to be president of the same state)