Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.9%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 May 26 20:35 UTC31 May 29 23:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$115/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2028 release and the 2028 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
Açık piyasalar
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,2 Mn
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺634,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,1 Mn
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C49%
- 27°C+16.5pt31.7%
- 25°C-14.0pt8.7%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺779,8 B
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+1.5pt70.4%
- Moonshot-3.2pt27.6%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺671,1 B
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- August Inflation China - Annual
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- China vs Puerto Rico
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Mayıs 2029.
- Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$115/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2028 release and the 2028 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.