Will U.S. gasoline CPI (SA) fall 3% or more month-over-month in the July 2026 release?
InflationOne-OffCommoditiesManifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (17%)
Sonuçlandı: 12 Ağu 2026 12:36
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 83%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Ağu 26 22:5412 Ağu 26 12:25
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes83%
No17%
83%
17%
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for July 2026 shows that the seasonally adjusted gasoline (all types) index fell by 3.0% or more month-over-month from June 2026. **Series:** CUSR0000SETB01 ("Gasoline (all types) in U.S. city average, all urban consumers, seasonally adjusted"), available free at https://api.bls.gov/publicAPI/v1/timeseries/data/CUSR0000SETB01 **Resolution:** Compute (July 2026 index / June 2026 index - 1) x 100 from the FIRST BLS July 2026 CPI release.
- Resolves YES if that value is -3.0% or lower (i.e. a decline of 3.0% or more).
- Resolves NO if it is higher than -3.0% (including any increase).
- The June 2026 value at market creation is 341.980; the May 2026 value is 378.660.
- Use only the seasonally adjusted series named above.
- Do NOT use the not-seasonally-adjusted gasoline index, the broader energy index (CUSR0000SA0E), headline or core CPI, retail price surveys (AAA, GasBuddy, EIA weekly), crude oil prices, or later annual revisions — unless BLS corrects the initial July 2026 release before resolution.
