Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
22 Eki 2026 04:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72.7%
Tahminciler
225
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Eki 22 04:57 UTC1 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
2023-02-15 Update: Resolves positively if, by the end of 2027, Twitter has incorporated prediction market services into their platform.
- Can resolve positively early if Twitter incorporates prediction market functionality ahead of the closing date.
- Events that make a positive resolution likely:
- Functionality is added such that, in addition to Tweets or alongside a Tweet, users or organizations can create public or private markets (using play or real currency) on questions about future events
- Twitter refers to a new capability as a "prediction market"
- A service of Twitter's looks and feels like Manifold / PredictIt / PolyMarket's UX