Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNeither 92.1%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli23 Haz 25 08:52 UTC20 Oca 29 07:18 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Increase if, by the end of Trump's second term, the net effect of all immigration-related legislation he signs into law is a projected increase of at least 10% in annual green card issuances (specifically because of the legislation).
- Decrease if the projected effect is a decrease of at least 10%.
- Neither if the net projected effect is -10% to +10%, or no relevant law is signed.
- Resolution is based on projections from nonpartisan congressional sources like CBO, or consensus among think tanks etc. (with differing politics between them, if possible).
- I will not bet on this market.
