Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitika2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 75%
Tahminciler
43
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Şub 24 22:45 UTC1 Şub 29 10:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
KalshiTrump declares nationwide martial law?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItKurallar
Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
- This question is only about nationwide martial law, not about a local or isolated martial law declaration in one city or one state.
- There might be a situation where enough states are in martial law for it to de facto count as federal (e.g. all states of the contiguous United States).
- I'll let the comment section decide in that edge case.
- If trump declares martial law in only words, but doesn't act upon it.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,6 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.1%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt19.6%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.9%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2029.
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Martial Law following definitions laid out here.