Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PolitikaOne-OffEğlenceUS PoliticsSeçimLatin America1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72.4%
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144
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Ağu 26 15:17 UTC2 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare an election emergency?
LimitlessWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 72% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Kasım 2026.
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.