Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76.3%
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Ara 25 05:22 UTC28 Şub 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Federal employees at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many government employees will Trump cut?
KalshiHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.
- Will 2026 bring similar results?
- I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here:
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001
- If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2027.
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: 2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.