Will Trump be elected President in 2024 / Will Trump serve time?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimSuç ve Adalet3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
22 Eki 2026 23:46 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiTrump wins the 2024 Election and never serves time before death 97.3%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
52
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Eyl 23 20:44 UTC2 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Live updating visualization of conditional odds:
- (https://manifoldcorrelation.streamlit.app/?type=multi&slug=will-trump-be-elected-president-in&x=Trump+Wins+Election&y=Trump+Serves+Time&swap=false&order=0&embedded=true)How correlated are these events? Let's find out.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
