Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80.4%
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20
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Eyl 25 21:57 UTC20 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump ban or significantly limit Prozac?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump ban Bombardier from selling in the US by the end of this year?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
- This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
- Ban must target trans or lgbt people.
- A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
- A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would resolve NO.
- If trans people can still buy guns by dressing differently resolves NO.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 80% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.