Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
US PoliticsOne-Off2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84.4%
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Guncelligini yitirmis16 Şub 25 17:10 UTC21 Oca 29 04:59 UTC
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Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.
- The State Department has said they will « only issue passports with an M or F sex marker that match the customer's biological sex at birth. » Some trans people report delays of less than a month in passport processing.
- This question will resolve YES if credible reports emerge of at least 5 people being denied US passports because they are trans.
- The question will NOT resolve yes if:
- 1) Trans people are denied passports for reasons unrelated to being trans
- 2) Delays in passport processing occur
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.
- Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.