Will there be new prediction market company before 2030?
KriptoOne-OffRegülasyonKripto BorsalarıCoinbase3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 77%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Eki 26 21:01 UTC31 Ara 29 11:00 UTC
Trendler
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By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a new prediction market company or independent trading platform launches to the public between October 7, 2026, and December 31, 2029, inclusive.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- To qualify as a "new prediction market company or platform," the launch must meet all of the following criteria:
- New Entity/Platform: It must be a newly incorporated company, an independent startup, or a brand-new decentralized protocol launched after October 7, 2026.
- Exclusions: A new feature, tab, or service introduced by an already existing company (e.g., Robinhood, Coinbase, or Interactive Brokers adding event contracts) does not qualify, unless it is spun out into a distinct, newly incorporated corporate entity.