Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 58.1%
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23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Mar 24 14:27 UTC16 Ara 40 02:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurWill there be a successful legal challenge to the US tariffs on Brazil that started July 22
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI do before IPO that is easier as a private company? [Add answers]
Manifold MarketsLargest private company end of September?
Polymarket2nd largest private company end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
In this NASA article https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/, and this interview by Elon Musk talking about SpaceX plans https://www.npr.org/2022/03/17/1087167893/elon-musk-mars-2029 express their dedication to advancing technologies for human missions to Mars.
- NASA underscores its commitment to developing new technologies on its official website, while Elon Musk hints at a manned mission to Mars in 2029 during an interview.
- These statements indicate a shared interest in sending manned missions to the Red Planet.
- Will any of them be successful by the end of 2040 ?
- the mission would be considered successful by the following criteria :
- Safe Arrival: The spacecraft carrying the astronauts safely lands on the surface of Mars without any major incidents or malfunctions.
Açık piyasalar
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
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- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Aralık 2040.
- Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: In this NASA article https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/, and this interview by Elon Musk talking about SpaceX plans https://www.npr.org/2022/03/17/1087167893/elon-musk-mars-2029 express their dedication to advancing technologies for human missions to Mars.