Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
One-OffUS PoliticsSeçimPolitika3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 52%
Tahminciler
42
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Şub 25 02:05 UTC4 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
In the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)
KalshiKurallar
Washington Post reports that Trump is expected to bring the USPS under executive control.
- https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/02/20/trump-usps-takeover-dejoy/
- Assuming he issues the expected order, and further assuming the order is not overturned before the 2026 midterms, will Trump issue another executive order preventing the delivery or counting of vote-by-mail ballots for the federal elections for the 120th Congress?
- This market will also resolve Yes if Congress passes legislation that prevents either the delivery or the counting of vote-by-mail ballots in the same elections.
- In the case that such an executive order is issued or such a law is passed, and in practice the order or law only applies to some portion of eligible voters, this market will also resolve Yes.
- This market will resolve when the 120th Congress sits for their first session.
