Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 98.2%
Tahminciler
156
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 May 24 08:49 UTC31 Ara 29 22:59 UTC
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Criteria for Resolution:
- Assassination Attempt: An assassination attempt is defined as any deliberate action intended to kill the CEO of a major AI lab.
- The attempt must be publicly reported and confirmed by credible sources, such as news agencies, law enforcement reports, or official statements from the affected company.
- Major AI Labs: Currently, the definition of major AI labs for this question includes OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind.
- As time progresses, new labs can be added or removed from this list, but the labs must be generally considered top-tier in the AI research and development field.
- The total number of labs on the list will not exceed five at any given time.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Criteria for Resolution:
