Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 61.3%
Tahminciler
7
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Ağu 24 12:26 UTC31 Ara 26 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will @NickyCase consider herself a rationalist by 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiWhat will we name our second kid?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
A self-labeled rationalist (rat-adjacent/EA/longtermist), intentionally planned group house/apartment complex inhabited by at least 5 non-relatives, in Prague.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt47.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40+2.0pt13.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺551,8 B
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No86%
- Yes+12.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺598,3 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺217,3 B
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺470,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺84,7 B
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-4.5pt75.3%
- Yes+4.5pt24.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺811,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺45,6 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Is Earth flat?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will there be a rationalist group house in Prague before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A self-labeled rationalist (rat-adjacent/EA/longtermist), intentionally planned group house/apartment complex inhabited by at least 5 non-relatives, in Prague.