Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 61%
Tahminciler
34
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Ara 23 15:54 UTC1 Mar 55 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
PolymarketSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurKurallar
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Venus, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Venus must occur within a distance of no more than 10 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-v-91a92e57402f
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-v-4a5c4940b285
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-manned-mission-to-v
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2055.
- Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Venus, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.