Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 83%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Ara 23 20:33 UTC1 Mar 50 22:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Neptune, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Neptune must occur within a distance of no more than 1 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-f447d8800dd3
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-80f53d888d58
- @/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-1c5b2e348e1d
Açık piyasalar
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2050.
- Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Neptune, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.