Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 51.3%
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Guncelligini yitirmis11 Haz 25 20:18 UTC21 Oca 29 11:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal:
- https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/trump-administration-launches-review-biden-era-defense-pact-with-australia-uk-2025-06-11/
- Resolves YES if the US withdraws from the pact, or substantially downgrades its involvment in it, while Trump is president.
- As this could easily fall into a grey zone, I will not place any bet in this market.
- If the outcome is ambiguous, I will rely on a combination of sources and trader input to determine whether the Trump administration effectively "withdrew the US from AUKUS".
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.
- Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal: