Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.7%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Haz 25 20:25 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?
Manifold MarketsSaudi Arabia military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketEuropean military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2029, either the United States or Israel attempts to detonate a nuclear device in an offensive capacity targeting Iranian territory.
- Resolution will be based on a combination of the following sources that collectively provide compelling evidence of such an event:
- - Official government statements from the US, Israeli, or Iranian governments.
- - Credible news reporting from media organizations.
- - International bodies' reports, including those from the United Nations, IAEA, or CTBTO.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 18 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria: