Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiFully fair 65%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
34
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Kas 24 03:42 UTC1 Oca 27 06:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsThe 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
Manifold MarketsIsrael holds free and fair election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
This market depends on the opinions of international election observers like the OSCE and historically-friendly governments to the US, like those of Great Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Australia, and the like.
- (The claims of countries generally considered geopolitical adversaries, like China or Russia, won't matter for the purposes of this market.)
- This market resolves to "the named outcome" if:
- More than 3/4 of election observers characterize the US federal elections of 2026 as fundamentally free and fair, at least to the same extent as the elections of 2020, 2022, and 2024.
- An objection like the electoral college or the non-proportionality of Senate representation will not prevent the market from resolving "yes", any objection must be unique to the 2026 election.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Fully fair için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market depends on the opinions of international election observers like the OSCE and historically-friendly governments to the US, like those of Great Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Australia, and the like.