Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiMore Authoritarian 66.3%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Nis 26 16:56 UTC31 Mar 27 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (the named outcome), down (the named outcome), or stays flat (the named outcome) relative to its score in the previous year.
- If the official report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari (this question)
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
- 🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,6 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.1%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt19.6%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.9%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla More Authoritarian için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Mart 2027.
- Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (the named outcome), down (the named outcome), or stays flat (the named outcome) relative to its score in the previous year.