Will the trump administration do large-scale enforcement against grey/black-market feminizing HRT?
One-OffSağlık ve TıpABD SiyasetiSuç ve Adalet2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 69.2%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Oca 25 17:23 UTC29 Oca 29 06:59 UTC
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Kurallar
might be resolved based partially on vibes / second-hand information, might resolve early (if it happens)
- Update 2025-01-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- YES will be resolved if:
- 3 reports of American homebrewers being arrested (considered yes on 1-2 reports depending on other information and the number of American homebrewers).
- Significant actions making it harder or riskier to obtain HRT from international sources, such as a large fraction of packages seized or a significant number of arrests (>10) of people ordering from them.
- A significant number of federal arrests for possession without a prescription (>10).
