Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
One-OffMakro ve EkonomiManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 86.1%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli2 Ara 23 02:48 UTC1 Oca 51 05:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This question refers to the area held currently (12/1/2023) by the South Korean state.
- By "total fertility rate" I mean "children born per woman." If advances in technology make that statistic meaningless (e.g., artificial wombs are created) AND most reputable sources switch to tracking "children born per person" or some variant instead, I will also resolve this question to "yes" if "children born per person" exceeds 1.
- I will use the CIA world factbook (or other authoritative source, pending agreement in comments) to determine resolution.
- https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/about/archives/2021/field/total-fertility-rate/country-comparison
