Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 90%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Haz 26 01:32 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
Manifold MarketsDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurIn 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the seasonally adjusted U.S. Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) drops below 61.5% (i.e., is reported as 61.4% or lower) for any monthly reporting period in the calendar year 2026 (January 2026 through December 2026).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly "Employment Situation" report.
- Specifically, this is the seasonally adjusted series LNS11300000, which can also be tracked on FRED under the series name CIVPART.
- Revisions: The market will resolve based on the values published for each month of 2026 as of the release of the December 2026 data (typically published in early January 2027), including any retroactive revisions to the 2026 months published up to that date.
Açık piyasalar
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,9 Mn
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺952,6 B
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,5 Mn
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes88%
- No12%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺483,3 B
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria