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Will the U.S. Senate eliminate or reduce the 60-vote cloture threshold for general legislation by December 31, 2026?
- This market resolves YES if:
- - The Senate votes to reduce the cloture threshold for general legislation from 60 votes to any lower number
- - The Senate eliminates the legislative filibuster entirely
- - The Senate creates carve-outs that allow specific types of non-budget legislation to pass with fewer than 60 votes
- - The Senate establishes new precedent through parliamentary rulings that effectively achieves any of the above (e.g., through the "nuclear option" or sustaining a point of order)