Recently, many have claimed that AI coding tools will soon make software developers obsolete.
According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of people in the United States employed as software developers in 2021 was 1,364,180.
The figure for 2022 has yet to be published, but is scheduled to be published later this year.
This question resolves to YES if the number of people employed as "software developers" in the United States declines by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028 as determined by data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
In case the BLS declines to publish the relevant figures before 2030, this question resolves to N/A. If the BLS changes the definition of "software developer" substantially, or their method of counting those employed changes substantially, this question will also resolve to N/A, and I will judge whether the change was "substantial" at my sole discretion.
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Haziran 2029.
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Recently, many have claimed that AI coding tools will soon make software developers obsolete.