Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
One-OffTeknolojiMakro ve Ekonomi2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 60%
Tahminciler
87
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Mar 23 01:31 UTC1 Haz 29 07:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the number of people employed as Information Security Analysts in US decrease by more than 15% from 2024 til 2044?
Manifold MarketsWill the number of Americans employed as Accountants/auditors decline from 2026 to 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketS&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Recently, many have claimed that AI coding tools will soon make software developers obsolete.
- According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of people in the United States employed as software developers in 2021 was 1,364,180.
- The figure for 2022 has yet to be published, but is scheduled to be published later this year.
- This question resolves to YES if the number of people employed as "software developers" in the United States declines by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028 as determined by data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- In case the BLS declines to publish the relevant figures before 2030, this question resolves to N/A. If the BLS changes the definition of "software developer" substantially, or their method of counting those employed changes substantially, this question will also resolve to N/A, and I will judge whether the change was "substantial" at my sole discretion.
