Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 91%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Mar 26 11:51 UTC24 Nis 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsWill the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held in April 2027, with a second round two weeks later if no candidate secures a majority vote.
- The market resolves YES if the winner of the 2027 French presidential election is a member of the Parti Socialiste (PS).
- Resolution will be based on official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Relations between France Insoumise and the Parti Socialiste are at rock bottom, with PS First Secretary Olivier Faure stating there will be no national pact with France Insoumise in the 2027 presidential elections.
- Several leftist groups have announced a primary in October 2026 to pick a united left candidate under the banner 'Front Populaire', with representatives from the Parti Socialiste, the Greens, and the Communists participating.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.7pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 24 Nisan 2027.
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria