Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

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5 Eyl 24 19:19 UTC13 Kas 28 07:59 UTC

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The NYT recently put out an editorial with the dramatic title Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race.

It’s about a guy named Allan Lichtman who uses a silly overfit model to predict elections.
Here’s Nate Silver’s takedown (from 2011!), and here’s a Manifold market on whether he’ll be “right” this year.
(He thought Biden would win up until the bitter end, btw, but he thinks Harris has the advantage in the Keys now, and she may win or lose, of course.)
In a perfect world, Lichtman wouldn’t get airtime, but alas, the NYT is covering him.
(I haven’t checked whether they did in past years - this would be a good forecasting step.) Will they similarly positively cover the Keys in 2028?

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