Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 99%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Haz 26 05:46 UTC31 Ara 26 23:20 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will attend Aella’s plzdontkillus
Manifold MarketsWill Aella publish an insider account of Thiel's Dialog conferences/"secret society"?
Manifold MarketsElbaf Megathread (Answers will resolve as they occur)
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiKurallar
The Aella market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Aella/a-major-publication-is-doing-a-prof)
- This market resolves YES if the above market resolves YES.
- If that market resolves NA or to a partial percentage, this resolves NO.
- If anything weird happens, the spirit of this market is to depend on the Aella market's final resolution, not any temporary accidental resolutions or anything like that.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6446.1%
- 65-89+2.0pt27.4%
- <40-3.5pt15.7%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No85%
- Yes-35.0pt15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺584,5 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺527,7 B
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺470 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺84,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-3.0pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺866,4 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺54,8 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the linked Aella market resolve YES? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the linked Aella market resolve YES? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the linked Aella market resolve YES? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will the linked Aella market resolve YES? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The Aella market: