Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2034 73%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
61
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
21 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Kas 23 17:48 UTC31 Ara 40 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen?
Manifold MarketsWill a cloned human baby be born before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Defined as a human being gestated in a synthetic environment that replicates the conditions of a biological mother's uterus and being.
- All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2029, then 2031, 2034, 2037, 2040... all resolve YES
- Disclaimers:
- This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site.
- Apologies for that.
- We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
Açık piyasalar
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺877,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺449,7 B
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺36,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺191,4 B
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺167,2 B
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺70,4 B
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2034 için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2040.
- Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Defined as a human being gestated in a synthetic environment that replicates the conditions of a biological mother's uterus and being.