Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 58.7%
Tahminciler
116
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Oca 24 18:51 UTC22 Şub 29 06:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiKurallar
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.7pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe28.9%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺79,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt19%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.4pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.3pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.0pt41%
- September 30+3.0pt23%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 59% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 22 Şubat 2029.
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.