Will the AfD control chancellorship before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 22 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.

Will the AfD control chancellorship before 2050? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will the AfD control chancellorship before 2050? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2049.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 75%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

11 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

16 Eki 26 21:34 UTC31 Ara 49 11:00 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2050, 00:00 UTC, a member of Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland / AfD) is officially sworn in or appointed as the Federal Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler).
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
The official confirmation will be verified via official announcements from the German Bundestag (bundestag.de) or the Federal President's office (bundespraesident.de).
Acting or provisional Chancellors count only if officially designated to exercise the office under German constitutional law.
If the individual was elected or appointed as an official member of the AfD, it counts as YES even if they subsequently resign from the party while in office.