Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
TeknolojiOne-Off11ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72.8%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Ağu 26 16:36 UTC6 Ağu 27 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, by August 1, 2027 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), Tesla is providing public robotaxi rides with no human safety monitor or driver present in the vehicle, in at least 10 distinct U.S. metropolitan areas other than Austin, TX.
- As of market creation (August 6, 2026), 5 metros beyond Austin already qualify: Dallas, Houston, Miami, Tampa, and Orlando.
- Phoenix and Las Vegas have been publicly planned since early 2026 but have not yet launched unsupervised service as of market creation.
- Requirements for a city to count: 1.
- Rides must have zero human safety monitor or driver physically present in the vehicle (a city where rides still require an in-car human monitor, such as the San Francisco Bay Area under current California law, does not count). 2.
- Service must be generally available to public riders, not an employee-only or invite-only internal pilot. 3.
Açık piyasalar
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
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+47 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
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- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Ağustos 2027.
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, by August 1, 2027 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), Tesla is providing public robotaxi rides with no human safety monitor or driver present in the vehicle, in at least 10 distinct U.S. metropolitan areas other than Austin, TX.