Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes (95.7%)
Sonuçlandı: 6 Ağu 2026 16:50
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 95.7%
Tahminciler
144
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Ağu 26 21:406 Ağu 26 16:50
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes95.7%
No4.299999999999997%
95.7%
4.3%
Kurallar
Something happens is defined as anything that:
- Zvi does not know about on August 2, 2026 at 5pm EST (he knows about the math proofs, which will be Monday's post)
- Obligates (not merely allows) a speed premium post to Don't Worry About the Vase
- Is about AI.
- The speed premium post can happen after Friday, but the central events that trigger it must occur by Friday 5pm eastern.
- Resolves YES if this happens.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺74,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺8,9 Mn
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺8,8 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺441,4 Mn
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Ağustos 2026.
- Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Something happens is defined as anything that: