Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
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Guncelligini yitirmis21 Kas 22 15:35 UTC1 Oca 30 05:00 UTC
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This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.
- It must be something where a significant number of Scott's friends, readers, and/or professional aquaintances are angry at him or want to stop associating with him.
- It must also be public enough that I hear about it through public channels.
- This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best.
- For an overview and discussion, see here.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.