Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 89.5%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Nis 26 14:28 UTC5 Mar 29 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Mart 2029.
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria