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25 Eki 2026 20:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 64%
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8
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 May 26 17:53 UTC31 May 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 1.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,300 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,350 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExKurallar
This market resolves YES if Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 3.4 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Rio Tinto. 2024 actual 3.3 Mt (+1% YoY); Kitimat ramp + NZAS full ownership.
- The 3.4 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued post-ramp run-rate; meaningful deviation requires either smelter restarts (Tomago, Bell Bay) or further M&A. Resolution sources (priority order):
- Rio Tinto quarterly production results and annual report https://www.riotinto.com/en/invest/financial-news-performance/quarterly-production-results
