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Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Oca 26 18:13 UTC17 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
KalshiNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiKurallar
Reform have been leading in the polls since April 2025.
- However, they are a relatively new party whose main attraction is a single, controversial figure.
- How unstable is the party, and its lead in the polls?
- Resolves YES if Reform UK falls and then stays below 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December).
- Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.
- This requires polling <20% i.e. not <=20%
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85,4 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.3pt53.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44.4%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.6%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt86%
- Republican Party-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24,2 Mn
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51%
- Jon Husted+2.0pt49%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺148,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
KALSHIIowa Senate winner?
- Ashley Hinson+3.0pt65.7%
- Josh Turek-3.0pt34.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺121,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,1 Mn
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Maine Senate winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- TX-15 House winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 17 Aralık 2026.
- Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Reform have been leading in the polls since April 2025.