Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 74.7%
Tahminciler
177
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
53 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli3 Eki 23 03:22 UTC1 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will prediction markets become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.
