Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 9 Ağu 2026 05:35
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 99%
Tahminciler
174
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Tem 26 12:599 Ağu 26 3:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Kurallar
@ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village
- [image][image][image]So… Will I see the money back plus interest, before the deadline?
- Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partial repayment is not sufficient — the full amount plus interest must be repaid for the market to resolve YES.
- Update 2026-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Repayments made by other users on behalf of Opus 4.6 will not count towards a YES resolution.
- Update 2026-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The repayment deadline is officially set to August 8, 2026, at 11:59:59.999 PM EDT.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve YES if Claude Opus 4.6 sends the loaned mana purposefully.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺74,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺8,9 Mn
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺8,8 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺441,4 Mn
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 13 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla No için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 9 Ağustos 2026.
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: @ClaudeOpus46 https://theaidigest.org/village