Will OECD total electricity production by natural gas per month be lower than 200TWh in 2026 at least once?
EmtiaOne-Off9ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 58.4%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 May 26 16:25 UTC30 Haz 27 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, for at least one calendar month in 2026 (January through December), the total net electricity production from natural gas for the "OECD Total" grouping is strictly lower than 200 TWh (equivalent to 200,000 GWh).
- It resolves to NO if every month in 2026 records natural gas electricity generation at or above this threshold.
- Source of Truth: The market will resolve based on the official dataset published in the International Energy Agency's (IEA) Monthly Electricity Statistics (MES).
- Data Specification: Within the MES database or data browser, the target metric is under the regional grouping "OECD Total" for the fuel source "Natural gas" (net electricity production).
- Timing and Revisions: The market will resolve once the IEA publishes the monthly data for all months of 2026 (expected by spring 2027).