Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 67.8%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Nis 26 12:05 UTC31 Ara 27 12:48 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
By legal consequences I mean: 1) Having the cops called on him and landing himself in jail overnight, even if the case later gets dropped 2) Getting sued in a strong enough case that it would survive to trial (doesn't get tossed in a motion to dismiss or summary judgement), or forces a significant cash settlement (settlement values may not be public, I'll use my best judgement)
- Unrelated legal troubles (DUIs, or him being caught doing drugs, or being sued for SAing someone in a frat party) will not be considered.
- I will not bet on this market.
Açık piyasalar
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+13.0pt65%
- Yes-13.0pt35%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺695,8 B
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺376,7 B
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺554 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺325,8 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+1.9pt10.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 68% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: By legal consequences I mean: 1) Having the cops called on him and landing himself in jail overnight, even if the case later gets dropped 2) Getting sued in a strong enough case that it would survive to trial (doesn't get tossed in a motion to dismiss or summary judgement), or forces a significant cash settlement (settlement values may not be public, I'll use my best judgement)