Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 50.4%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli15 Nis 26 04:17 UTC15 Nis 36 04:11 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiWill an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
PolymarketWill "Don't Sell Stock to Donate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).
- In other words, if Nectome succeeds as a business, and someone who bought the card for $20k in 2026 sells the discount to someone else for $60k or more, this resolves YES.
- If May 2036 comes along and I cannot find any evidence of such a sale, it resolves NO.
Açık piyasalar
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.6pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-8.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺23,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+10.0pt57%
- 65-89+23.0pt41%
- 90-114-1.6pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt78.2%
- Apple+0.6pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.6%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.7%
- 160-17913.7%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,5 Mn
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
- Largest Company end of September?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 15 Nisan 2036.
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).