Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffEuropePolitika5ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Mar 26 18:33 UTC28 Şub 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria
Açık piyasalar
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.9pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
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- Al Qadsiah+20.0pt67.7%
- Tie-4.0pt19.6%
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- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺84,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18-1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2027.
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X