Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Mana discount, no retro (63.6%)
Sonuçlandı: 17 Eki 2026 17:12
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
18 Eki 2026 09:35 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
No mana discount1.7%
Mana discount, no retro63.6%
Mana discount, retro allowed34.7%
Kazandı
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
I bought my Manifest 2026 ticket (woohoo) (technically the all access ticket including LessOnline and Summercamp)
- There was an option for a LessWrong karma discount, but no option for a Manifold mana discount
- Will this be instituted, and will I be able to apply the discount to my already-purchased ticket?
- It counts as instituted if on less.online, manifest.is, or any other official Manifest / LessOnline / Summercamp website there is a public way to apply a Mana discount
- Or if there is a clear message on one of those sites, that you can contact the Manifest team, and they will apply the discount manually
- A retroactive discount means that I receive real money (not Mana, or cryptocurrency)
