Will mana become less valuable by 2028? (Experimental) için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 57.3% fiyatlıyor.

Will mana become less valuable by 2028? (Experimental) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will mana become less valuable by 2028? (Experimental) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş

26 Eki 2026 04:15 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 57.3%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

2 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

11 Eyl 25 20:29 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

At the start of 2028, resolve YES if and only if there is some option (any bulk) that costs less than $1 per 120 mana.

Note that the equilibrium probability for this market is lower than its true probability.
This is because betting NO pays out high-value mana (by definition) and loses low-value mana (again by definition), while YES does the opposite.
(the most extreme case would be something like "will Manifold still exist", where the equilibrium would be 100%).
This is also experimental to see what happens in a situation like this