Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNetanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there 67.3%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Kas 25 16:31 UTC31 Ara 26 16:24 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.
- If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A. I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly.
- For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.
Açık piyasalar
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.9pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+20.0pt67.7%
- Tie-4.0pt19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-15.0pt12.8%
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺84,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18-1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.