Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 29 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there için 93.2% fiyatlıyor.

Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.

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Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there 93.2%

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De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.

If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A. I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly.
For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.