Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 88.6%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Şub 25 11:17 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketNext General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch
SmarketsWill Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsNext Conservative Leader - After Kemi Badenoch
SmarketsWill Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES if at any date before the 1st of January 2027, the 1922 Committee of the Conservative Party announce that the threshold of letters of no confidence (currently 33% of all Conservative MPs - 41 MPs as at date of creation) has been met, a Vote of No Confidence is scheduled, and takes place before the close date.
- If a VoNC does not happen, or a vote is triggered but does not take place before 1st Jan 2027, this resolves NO.
- According to current party rules, no VoNC can take place before the party leader has been in place for a full year, meaning a VoNC cannot take place before November 2025, so this covers a period of a little over a year after VoNC season starts.
- Clarification: if the party rules are amended to allow a VoNC then this will count for a YES resolution.
- The key part is the vote occurring, not any rule changes to enable it.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
KALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka-7.0pt62.4%
- Linda Noskova+7.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺715,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺685 Mn
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+50.0pt87.3%
- Tie-17.0pt9.8%
- Club Brugge-32.0pt2.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺127,7 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺878,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺108,8 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺106,6 Mn
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Waltert vs Masarova
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if at any date before the 1st of January 2027, the 1922 Committee of the Conservative Party announce that the threshold of letters of no confidence (currently 33% of all Conservative MPs - 41 MPs as at date of creation) has been met, a Vote of No Confidence is scheduled, and takes place before the close date.